Polls also agree that the stunning expansion of the BJP’s base in eastern and southern states is the basis for supporting this hat-trick (tying Nehru’s record). Current party leader. Polls predict the BJP will win 19 to 31 of Bengal’s 42 seats, with most predicting it will win more than 20 seats. From a minimum of 9 seats to a maximum of 20 seats.
Polls also put the saffron party on track to beat or at least equal the Congress party’s vote share in Telangana, while all but one polls predicted a sweep for its alliance with the Andhra Pradesh People’s Democratic Party the state. If the polls turn out right, it could also open the tally in Kerala and win seats in Tamil Nadu without allying with any of the major Dravidian parties.
Forecasts range from a low of 353 (CVoter-ABP News and Matrize-Republic Bharat forecast) to 415 (Today’s Chanakya-News24). The Indian Alliance is expected to win a maximum of 182 seats, with Today’s Chanakya even suggesting it could fall below the three-digit mark.
Exit polls are generally considered more accurate than polls conducted before an election. Their track record in India is a mix of success and failure. Actual results will be announced on June 4.
If the exit polls are to be believed, expansion in the east and south, coupled with minimized losses in larger states such as Gujarat, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Karnataka that won all or almost all seats in 2019, It would be enough to prevent the BJP-led alliance from losing votes.
One state where polls see the saffron alliance facing a major reversal from five years ago is Maharashtra, with several polls predicting the state will be dominated by the Bharatiya Janata Party-led Mahayurti and the Indian Alliance. A close competition between. In 2019, the NDA won 41 of the 48 seats in the state.
In Uttar Pradesh, which has the most seats in the Lok Sabha, there is consensus that the NDA will not only maintain the 64 seats it had in 2019, but also add some seats to it, albeit not too many. In Bihar, while the NDA is expected to lose some seats compared to 2019, the scale of the loss will disappoint the opposition alliance. In the polls analyzed here, the Indian Alliance failed to secure more than 10 seats out of the state’s 40 seats.
