IPL 2024 Ranking: Points table | orange hat | purple hat
1. Kolkata Knight Riders: The team currently in first place has a 36% chance of becoming the only one at the top of the table, which they can do even if they win just one of their remaining three games.
Their chance of being tied for first in points is an impressive 62.5%. However, they’re still not sure if they’ll make the playoffs. If they lose all their remaining games, they could end up tied for fourth place with SRH, DC or LSG, depending on the results of the other games. But the probability of this happening is only 0.1%.
2.Rajasthan Royals: Like KKR, they have a 36% chance of being the sole toppers at the end of the league stage and a 62.5% chance of being at least joint first on points. However, they also remain uncertain about making the playoffs. If they lose all their remaining games, they could end up tied for fourth place with SRH, DC or LSG, depending on the results of the other games. But the probability of this happening is only 0.3%.
3.Chennai Super Kings: CSK, who are currently third, have a 75% chance of finishing in the top four individually or jointly. But at most they’re tied for first place with one to three other teams. And this possibility is only 4%.
4. Sunriser Hotel Hyderabad: Fourth-placed SRH have a 72% chance of finishing in the top four individually or jointly. Like CSK, the most they can hope to do is share first place with one to three other teams, but even then, the chances are just over 2%.
5. Delhi Capital: DC is currently in fifth place and has no chance of breaking into the top spot, or even being tied for the top spot. Their chances of finishing in the top four individually or jointly are just under 50%. Their best-case scenario is a tie for second in points, with the probability of that happening just over 4%.
6. Lucknow Super Giants: LSG, currently ranked sixth, have a better chance (70%) of entering the top four than DC due to the extra games, either individually or jointly. Like CSK and SRH, they are tied for first place with at most one to three other teams. The chance of this happening is just over 2%.
7. Royal Challengers Bangalore: Seventh-placed RCB has no better hope of finishing tied for third or fourth, and even then the odds are just over 8%.
8. King of Punjab: At best, Punjab can only hope to finish joint third or fourth, and the probability of that is just over 6%.
9.Gujarat Titans: GT find themselves at the bottom of the table, with a slim chance of promotion at just over 8%, slightly better than Mumbai due to the extra games.
Also read: How to watch IPL in the US
10. Mumbai Indians: Currently ranked ninth, it is almost impossible for MI to make the playoffs. Of the 16,384 possible combinations, only two could finish tied for fourth with six other teams on 12 points, which represents a 0.01% chance.
How it happened: MI won the remaining matches against KKR and LSG. Then they want LSG to beat SRH tonight (Wednesday), PBKS to win the match against RCB tomorrow (Thursday), GT to beat CSK, RR to beat CSK too, RCB to beat DC, KKR to beat GT, LSG to beat DC, RR to beat PBKS, GT Beat SRH, RCB beat CSK, PBKS beat SRH. This means that 13 of the remaining 14 results need to go their way, with only the KKR vs. RR game being indistinguishable.
in short: Bet on KKR and RR to make it to the playoffs along with the two of CSK, SRH and LSG, although DC also have a decent chance. For anyone else, it would take a miracle to join them.
How do we calculate chances
With 14 games remaining, there are 16,384 possible combinations of game outcomes. We’ll look at each of these and what it means for the team’s final standings. We then calculate the percentage of results at which Team “A” has a chance of finishing in the top four or first place. The basic assumption is that any given game is a 50-50 game, which isn’t unreasonable given the outcome. intense pulsed light This year and other years have unfolded. For example, out of 16,384 combinations, KKR led individually or jointly in 10,240 combinations, which means the chance of finishing first individually or jointly is 62.5%.
