Harris and Trump closely follow each other in opinion polls in a number of toss up states, a resident of Pennsylvania informed Yougov commissioned poll for The Times and SAY24. The survey period August 23rd to September 3rd, brought out that a neck-to-neck competition was on with a four state advantage for Harris over trump while trump had potential support from three states, all within margin of error, The Hill added.
Harris holds slim leads in four states
Harris had a number of leads in Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. In Michigan, Harris led the poll by five points (48% to 43%). Same news in Nevada and Wisconsin where she had three point lead –49% to 46% and 47% to 44% – respectively. In Pennsylvania she lead just a single percentage point over the registered voters polled after 46:45.
Trump ahead in the primaries of some southern states
Meanwhile, Trump was in front in Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona. Gender of a voter made no more difference to the turn Outs Macharia Kamau the director of Almost four percentage of them lived in Georgia sixteen percentage in the trump cluster state expamples arizona. In North Carolina, trump edged out with 47 percent stare with Harris floating at 46.
She seeks possible explanations for that trend.
Carl Bialik, who is Vice President Data Science at YouGov, said: “Even comparing with March for example, Harris was already running ahead or even in every state. She was performing on the same level or better than Biden results in her areas in 2020.” He further added, “If these leads held, and the other states’ results were like 2020, Harris would have carried the electoral college.”
The Recent polls added to the mess in Georgia
As reported by CNN recently polling there was no significant advantage in Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania and Harris was ahead by 50% to 44% in Wisconsin and 48% to 43% in Michigan. On the other hand, Trump has a lead of five points in Arizona 49%-44%
Trends from polling basket and betting analytics
The Hill/Decision Desk HQ calculated that Harris was leading Trump by 4 points (49.7% – 45.7%) in avaggate polls. The USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll taken August 25-28, also, said only Harris was ahead 48% to 43%, but within measured error.
Even then, gambling markets, which operate illegally in the U.S, although they are not allowed by U.S law, were still showing a mix of confidence and scepticism, with Harris ahead of the pack slightly in the post Democratic convention.
Survey details
It would be noticed that the YouGov polls conducted a survey of 900 respondents in Arizona and Wisconsin, 800 in Nevada, while 1000 were said to be in the rest of the states with a margin of error between 3 to 5 percent.
As the elections continued to gather fierceness and competition from all quarters, these battleground states continued to be very important with both sides of the political divide fighting extra for all votes.
